A Proposal to Use Random Selection to Decide Election Winner
The proposal: If a district needs to elect 10 congressmen. Then each registered voter is asked whether he/she wants to run, if yes, their names will be put into a lottery. 10 names will be randomly picked from the lottery, and those names will be declared the elected Congressmen for this community. And then the resumes and personal history of these picked will be posted on the website for public viewing. This method can be used to elect president as well: anyone who wants to run can register online, and when the registration period is over, a random name will be selected and he will become the President of the country.

Now, that's my proposal. Of course many of you will say I'm being ridiculous, or I'm joking. I'm not joking at all.
To see my reasons for this proposal. Let's first talk about the election system in Western countries. In western countries, the voters vote for their congressmen or senators, but how do people become candidates in the first place? That's a sore spot of many "democracy" lovers, as it hurts for them to talk about it.
Two examples: 1) The Turkish parliament voted 50-50, almost allowing US troops to station in Turkey for the Iraqi War. However, all turkish polls done at that time indicate that 80% of the citizens are opposed to the war. If it is a true representative democracy, then the parliamentary vote should be roughly similar to the results of the poll (80-20 against, not 50-50). Of course the parliament's votes did not reflect public opinion, that is a typical characteristic of a capitalist dictatorship. 2) During the Clinton "pants-gate" scandal, polls indicated 80% of the American public believe an impeachment procedure was unnecessary, yet the procedure went ahead anyway.
What causes this? Well, why don't you let me tell you. Every representative actually represents particular interest groups. If his/her interest group benefits from the war/impeachment, he'll vote for it, otherwise he'll vote no. And maybe, after the interest groups are taken care of, they will spend 10 minutes trying to look like they represent the people as well. And in fact, there's no way voters can truly know how good a candidate is in an election. People vote with feelings, ideologics,moods, etc. etc. How many of you actually compare the candidates' detailed record and history, and truly reason and analyze your decisions in an election? I am sure none of you.
Knowing this, I believe this current system of election (including China's electoral system) is rather ridiculous. What that means is that the voters's vote are rather random (since mood and feelings change with the wind). It's not that different than if each voter voted with a dart and a board.
But this randomness is good. And my proposal uses lottery to extend that randomness to the selection of winners as well. This is what I call "blind-selection". Blind-selection is a very scientific and serious way of selecting representatives.
In fact, most of our daily activities on based on blind-selection. When you go to a barbar-shop at an unknown place, you don't go and let competing barbars make speeches for you. Instead, you randomly pick a shop. In fact, if you select your barbar by listening to their speeches, then the selection is just as random, because who would not try to promote himself for a customer? The speech has nothing to do with his barbaring skills.
The lottery method I proposed, statistically it results in a very good "sample" of the population. What is the meaning of a representative, well it is nothing but a sample from the population. And the truly accurate way to get a sample is by random selection, thus lottery. This way, candidates are immune from manipulation by interest groups, and they form a true true true sample of the people.
With this method, if there are 1% of bad people in the population, there should also be 1% of bad people in the Parliament/Congress, and vice versa. And all votes of the Parliament will very closely resemble the opinions of the population, because the members of the parliament are a snapshot of the population.
And only then can these members deserve to be called representatives, the country be a true true true democracy.
Problems:
1) Only 1% of a population is "bad"? I believe most people are good, but not 99%. Besides, mere "goodness" does not make one a competent politician. Jimmy Carter is beautiful man with a compassionate heart, but he is considered to have been a mediocre president.
2) Drawing names from a lottery of willing candidates will not necessarily result in a legislative body of mostly "good" people. One common complaint about the American system is that a lot of highly capable people don't want to hold public office.
Are you familiar with the US jury system? Many highly educated professionals weasel out of jury duty because it's tedious and doesn't pay well, and thus, isn't worth missing work for.
3) Lottery winners would still be vulnerable to corruption. It is said that many US government leaders enter politics full of idealism but their lofty principles are gradually eroded by campaign contributions and junkets. If elections were abolished, there would be no need for campaign war chests, but there would still be bribery and junkets. My former employer funded domestic and overseas vacations disguised as delegations for local government officials in China.
In a representative democracy, representatives do not always vote according to the wishes of the majority. If, however, they ignore the will of the people too often or on key issues, they do risk losing their seat in the next election.
While many of Turkey's parliamentarians voted contrary to the wishes of their constituency, in the US, nearly the entire Congress voted for the war because of overwhelming public support. No Democrat wanted their next opponent to tar them with an accusation of being soft on Saddam.
The barber shop analogy is just silly. I've had plenty of bad hair cuts, and two months is enough time to grow one out enough to be repaired. An elected official typically holds office for 2-6 years. Bush has two more years in office, and that's two years too long for me!
How many of you actually compare the candidates' detailed record and history, and truly reason and analyze your decisions in an election? I am sure none of you.
I do actually pay attention to how a candidate votes on major issues. It's going to be tough voting this November because so many members of Congress voted for the war. The big problem with voting records is that no voter will find a candidate whose record is 100% in accordance with their views, so voters tend to stick to a few key issues. For me, the biggest issue is Iraq. If there are no genuine anti-war candidates, then I'll be looking at other issues like the extension of the Patriot Act and immigration.
Math's proposal might work in an imaginary scenario. But the real world doesn't work like that.
Let's suppose that there are about 80% of people in one area who agree with side A in some issue. The lottery could easily land in the other 20%, and what would happen then? Besides, the lottery method can't promise that all of the candidates will take the whole thing responsibly and seriously, the reason being that they were picked on a lottery, and not chosen.
I didn't read Math's post, as I'm sure he won't read this.
But if he's arguing for random elections, it will at least be better than CCP china today because:
It would allow CCP outsiders to get into the party, and leadership wouldn't be self-selected by people looking for other who are drinking and loving the party cool-aid.
Ariel Sharon on the late Moshe Dayan:
"He would wake up with a hundred ideas. Of them ninety-five were dangerous; three more were bad; the remaining two, however, were brilliant."
I have a feeling we'll have to wait some time before Math comes up with his two.
Nausicaa, great to see you back. Please consider sticking around - I think you'll find it a kinder, gentler forum than it used to be.
(And yes, I am totally ignoring Math's "essay.")
I lean towards some form of Meritocracy coupled with political transparency and freedom of the press to help battle corruption and the abuse of power. I'm not sure how this would be organised but I believe that the right to vote and, indeed, the right to stand for election should be granted only to those who deserve these privileges by meeting certain standards. Of course, the difficulty would be in defining the criteria of merit which a person must meet in order to be granted these rights.
I lean toward a shareholder system of government, where individuals vote not with votes, but with capital, where the candidate that recieves the backing of the most capital in society wins (it's been the case in the U.S., where campaign funding is actually more closely correlated with local electoral results than popular opinion). Then, such a government would always favor the most efficient capitalization and economic expansion, by definition, and consequently it would always overpower other governments economically. Of course, the right to property would be the sole fundamental right in such a system, and the government would be constitutionally bound into a minarchist system, where it does basically nothing for the average system.
If there's ever a lunar colony, I think that it might work.
t-co, are you being sarcastic or are you for real? If you are so much for this “shareholder system of government�, you should stay in the US. Otherwise you can try Hong Kong.
such a government would always favor the most efficient capitalization and economic expansion
Efficient capitaliziation and economic expansion are not the sole purposes of government, however.
"We the people of the United States, in order to form a more perfect union, establish justice, insure domestic tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general welfare, and secure the blessings of liberty to ourselves and our posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America."
Not every society or government may agree with this assessment of the role of government but most would argue that ensuring economic expansion is only one among many governmental responsibilities. These responsibilities are ignored at the peril or the leadership.
The post was semi-sarcastic. The thing is, I see most governments around the world bound more toward a de facto social contract toward lumps of capital like corporations than groups of people like a society (the Bush administration's obsession with lower taxes and pork rather than the well-being of America, the CCP's obsession with GDP growth rather than--although it claims to care--the median welfare of its people). So I'm just trying to say, why not make that social contract explicit rather than implicit? It would make the government a heck of a lot more effective and efficient--it wouldn't have to 说一套�一套 anymore.
I see most governments around the world bound more toward a de facto social contract toward lumps of capital like corporations than groups of people like a society (the Bush administration's obsession with lower taxes and pork rather than the well-being of America, the CCP's obsession with GDP growth rather than--although it claims to care--the median welfare of its people). So I'm just trying to say, why not make that social contract explicit rather than implicit? It would make the government a heck of a lot more effective and efficient--it wouldn't have to 说一套�一套 anymore.
So are you saying that since Bush isn't focused on the well being of the people, and the CCP isn't focused on the well being of the people, it's essentially the same?
If so, then maybe we should insert cannibalism in there somewhere.


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